Ron Paul’s Campaign Problem

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Rep. Ron Paul (R-Tex.) has a consistent message, which has endeared him to many disenchanted voters in the current political climate. What has always seemed to sink him, though, are the tactics his campaign has repeatedly chosen to employ. These cloud his original message and abdicate responsibility on critical questions concerning Rep. Paul’s electability altogether.

Ron Paul has a campaign problem and no one seems to want to take to the podium to remedy the situation.

For all intents and purposes, 2007 was a success story in mass grassroots fundraising. The Paul campaign broke the single-day fundraising record in the U.S. by raising over $6 million on the backs of individual donors in December 2007, for example. He packed 100,000+ members into thousands of meet-up groups in cities across the country, the most of any GOP contender at the time. Rep. Paul managed to garner between 5 and 8 percent of national support during the primary contests for those—especially younger voters with a strong Web presence—who gravitated toward the man for reasons other than conventional campaign outreach efforts from volunteers.

The problem was simple back then: resources were allocated poorly in that nearly all the campaigning was decentralized and devolved to local meet-up groups and savvy Internet surrogates – true to the Ron Paul credo – and a national strategy barely had an exoskeleton upon which to rely. This may have led to what social psychologist Gustave Le Bon would call “group mind,” in which a throng of followers exerts influence over its members, or simply acts independently. In both the short- and long-term, this might have actually helped the Paul campaign reach its various campaign goals, yet the supporters were also able to wield disproportionate influence over the campaign, diverting crucial resources toward a campaign blimp as opposed to television advertisements or the like.

The Paul campaign did well in learning from its amateur mistakes, rebounding almost immediately by the time 2011 rolled around. The remaining campaign funds were used as seed money for Campaign for Liberty, a 501(c)(4) organization with national outreach and local offices in key states that proselytized the libertarian message and organized against pressing legislative agendas, such as the individual mandate of the Affordable Care Act. They hired seasoned campaign operatives like Trygve Olson that helped his son, Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.), pull off an upset in 2010, as well as savvy ad man Jon Downs, who worked on George W. Bush’s 2000 presidential campaign. Office space has been in place for months, advertisements have saturated the airwaves in Iowa and New Hampshire, and volunteers have been plugging away at the phones and the doors of voters. In Paul’s own words, the American people were finally “swimming to him.”

Then, the newsletters resurfaced, alleging that Rep. Paul is racist, homophobic, and potentially anti-Semitic. As in 2007, the campaign has summarily disavowed Rep. Paul’s involvement with the newsletters without pointing to any particular staff member who may have written them in Rep. Paul’s name. In lockstep, his fervent libertarian supporters  have labeled this as the latest example of a “smear campaign” orchestrated by the mainstream media to discredit Rep. Paul’s campaign and bring down his poll numbers. His supporters obviously waste little to no time in responding collectively on behalf of their candidate of choice, on constant vigilance for signs of negative press coverage. However, there is not one singular centralized response to the accusations, which could cause a problems in terms of filtering and maintaining control over the campaign’s core message.

A Super PAC devoted to Rep. Paul’s nomination has stepped up to defend Paul from the media onslaught, as well, and just recently uploaded a video in which a middle-aged African American male from Texas details a supererogatory act of kindness by Dr. Paul toward him and his family several decades ago: Dr. Paul tended to his wife in the hospital when no one else would and did not charge the man a penny for his services.

What about his official campaign?  There is nothing on his official site that links or discusses the issue at all. The campaign had to know this was an inevitability, though, because every other candidate who has made a splash in the early polls, as Paul has of late, has had every part of his or her private and public life exhaustively scrutinized. Herman Cain has even been pushed out of the race entirely, as a consequence.

Ron Paul does not have a race problem. He has a campaign problem. As evidenced by the lack of response to the recent racist allegations, there seems to exist the belief within the campaign that the issue will simply dissipate over time and that the current “brush it under the carpet” strategy will work through the primary season. What should the campaign have done, and what can it do to effectively put this potentially fatal thorn behind it?

For starters, it could do what it has done so well over the past several months and release a professional advertisement in which sound bites of Rep. Paul narrate how his philosophy of personal liberty aims to turn the page by empowering Americans of every race, ethnicity, and orientation to promote the central American ideals of tolerance and freedom. Gary Johnson did this well with a low-budget, so I could only imagine what the Paul campaign could create.

Second, Rep. Paul would be wise to heed Michael Tomasky’s intriguing suggestion that he deliver an informal talk or speech focused solely on racism as candidate Barack Obama did in March 2008. In 2008, the speech did wonders for candidate Obama in moving beyond the inflammatory language of Rev. Jeremiah Wright and demonstrating leadership on the issue of race in the United States. Tomasky may believe that there are not enough GOP voters who care about alleged racism for Paul to respond, but would it hurt to speak for himself as any man of presidential caliber would, and put the matter behind him sooner rather than later, especially as some question his electability?

Should Ron Paul win this Jan. 3 in Iowa, his campaign should expect the entire weight of the GOP establishment and mainstream media to compound atop the campaign headquarters with even sharper scrutiny of statements published under his name. It may not be Rep. Paul’s personal style to put on his politician’s hat, but a presidential race is about demonstrating bold leadership. Overreliance on a heterogeneous, but well-intentioned score of supporters worked well in the past, but 2011 should be a time for the Paul campaign to reflect on its non-interventionist ways politically. After all, it just might help Paul’s chances of winning in the long run.

Photo Source: Gage Skidmore

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  • Sleuth51

    Here’s a video to prove Paul’s “electability” problem:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nRtFmQgaRD0&hd=1

  • Sleuth51

    Voters who want wars, torture, assassinations, “humanitarian” bombings in oil rich countries, indefinite detentions, drone attacks that kill the innocent, erosion of civil liberties, domestic war on the people (drug war), out-of-control debt and spending, graft and greed, crony capitalism, pandering to special interests, bailouts, more of the same, must NOT vote for Ron Paul.

    Voters who want peace, a humane foreign policy, restoration of civil liberties, an end to the war on drugs, sound money, balanced budgets, honesty, integrity and transparency in government, and a President wholly committed to Constitutional government can vote for Ron Paul.

    Ain’t that difficult a choice.

  • Naji Filali

    Surely, you misinterpret the principle at the core of the article, Sleuth. Ron Paul is remarkably consistent on the issues and is within striking distance of first place in the latest polls leading up to the Iowa Caucuses. That much is indisputable. What is disputable is that the way his campaign has managed campaign controversies and problems in general has been wise and not costly to Paul’s public image. This was proven in 2007 more broadly and more pointedly in 2011 as the racist newsletters resurfaced and more perniciously stuck to the candidate. A more authoritative response from the campaign could have potentially paid great dividends for the campaign moving forward beyond Iowa, in my estimation, is all.

  • cepivon

    Disenchanted voters? No, disenchanted AMERICANS!

    The problem in 2007-2008 was not that resources were allocated so “poorly”, even though that is true to some extent, but the real reason he didn’t win was because Americans hadn’t gone through the Crash of ’08, or the Banking Bailouts, or the ensuing economic calamity.

    Although you may have a point in the diversion of monies to a “Blimp”, the national GOP was throwing up roadblocks at every campaign turn. This impacted the success of the campaign, too. Even the blimp was forced to go “around” instead of “over” the Super Bowl football game due to interferences run by the political elites. It was a creative and genius idea. All the supporters had so much fun! Other Republican and Democratic affiliations took notice and marveled at the originality and creativity bursting at the seams.

    Your accusation that there was “not one singular centralized response” to the newsletters’ accusation is blatantly false. How could you get any more centralized than Dr. Ron Paul himself speaking in answer to these old, stale charges time after time by all cable news networks?

    Also, SuperPacs work differently, and it is not unusual for this lack of communication. I think it was a pleasant surprise for the good doctor, don’t you?

    Your advertisement suggestion is okay, but Dr. Paul has answereddon many of these erroneous allegations, yet the SuperPac TV advertisement undertaking was excellent, because it was REAL. What better example could we have given? The other candidates must have been salivating over this one, no doubt.

    Look, Ron Paul has spoken to the Black Caucus and other groups about his ideologies. Moreover, he is willing to talk anytime to any group, but you need to grasp that whatever he does, is NEVER enough. Why? Because the political elite powers in this country who control our two party (one-headed) system simply do NOT want Dr. Ron Paul to win the hearts and minds of the masses. They don’t want to lose their power, and that is exactly why you are hearing outrageous, incredulous statements such as he is to the “left” of Obama. Poppycock. Lastly, I disagree that his “electability” is in question. How CAN it be, when he is polling 1st and 2nd place in Iowa? That proves he is definitely “electable”, maybe not by you, but by the “American people”.

  • Naji Filali

    @cepivon:

    I agree that the GOP establishment has gone out of its way to marginalize Paul and it has hampered his ability to gain traction in the past.

    I do take issue with it being “blatantly false” that there has been no centralized response to media allegations of racism from the campaign, though. Generally, a campaign will draft a press release, release an advertisement, or pursue something of the sort to stick to in all future discourse between campaign entities and the public. Satisfying or not, simply disavowing content that is today deemed inflammatory and outlandish is unsatisfactory, especially considering the immutable racial conflicts of year’s past and high moral standards expected of anyone pursuing the highest office of the land. Organic grassroots support as expressed in the Super PAC and Blimp are absolutely terrific most of the time and demonstrate an unparalleled level of devotion to Ron Paul. At the same time, though, the supporters’ explanations for the newsletters resurfacing may not be entirely aligned with what the Paul campaign is intending to portray (outright disavowal), which detracts from the Paul campaign’s grip over the publicly perceived message it is airing out there. It would simply be more prudent to avoid the possibility of misinterpretation by the media and clear the air forthrightly in a convincing and public way.

    Lastly, I don’t necessarily believe myself that he is unelectable. As a matter of fact, a look at my previous posts on my author page refutes such a sentiment. Others in the GOP have pointed to the electability question as a problem, though, and I would be remiss to ignore that, too.

  • Implausible Endeavors

    Not only have the Newsletters been mismanaged into General Election fodder, daring to say so elicits the same knee-jerk defensiveness and rote rhetoric that bombards anyone who has the audacity to be less than thoroughly smitten by and blindly loyal to “The Good Doctor”.

  • Shenonymous

    He is the candidate and is responsible for his campaign. It is mealy mouthed to blame his campaign managers, cowardly really. His extreme libertarianism is dangerous to the millions of underprivileged in this country.

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